Gazte Berriak vs Izarra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 32Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Gazte Berriak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Izarra wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gazte Berriak vs Izarra?
Izarra starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gazte Berriak vs Izarra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gazte Berriak
Not enough data to predict the Gazte Berriak lineup.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Gazte Berriak have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Izarra have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Txantrea(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gazte Berriak score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 8; Izarra score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gazte Berriak | 1.0 | 0.6 | 4 | 2/8 | 1/8 |
| Izarra | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gazte Berriak sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (13 points from 7 matches) and Izarra sit 1st (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Gazte Berriak | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Gazte Berriak vs Izarra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gazte Berriak vs Izarra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Gazte Berriak.
- Where and when is Gazte Berriak vs Izarra played?
- Gazte Berriak vs Izarra is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.