Canuelas vs Lugano: prediction and stats
Primera CRound of 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, Cañuelas, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes Canuelas the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Lugano. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Canuelas vs Lugano?
Canuelas starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,710 vs 1,578).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Canuelas vs Lugano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Canuelas
Not enough data to predict the Canuelas lineup.
Lugano
Not enough data to predict the Lugano lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canuelas have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Lugano have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 4-0 | Primera C |
| Oct 5, 2026 | El Porvenir(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fénix(home) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sportivo Barracas(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Victoriano Arenas(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Mercedes(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 2-3 | Primera C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Leones de Rosario(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Canuelas wins, 2 draws, 0 Lugano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Canuelas 3-1 Lugano | Primera C |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lugano 0-2 Canuelas | Primera C |
| Oct 8, 2014 | Canuelas 5-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Aug 20, 2014 | Lugano 2-2 Canuelas | Primera D |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Lugano 1-2 Canuelas | Primera D |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Canuelas 0-0 Lugano | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Canuelas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canuelas | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Lugano | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Canuelas sit 2nd in Primera C (61 points from 32 matches) and Lugano sit 7th (46 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CanuelasGroup B | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | LuganoGroup A | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 46 |
A question about Canuelas vs Lugano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Canuelas vs Lugano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Canuelas the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Lugano.
- Where and when is Canuelas vs Lugano played?
- Canuelas vs Lugano is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Central Cordoba1-0Centro Español
- Oct 17, 2026General Lamadrid1-1Estrella Del Sur
- Oct 17, 2026Victoriano Arenas0-1Deportivo Español
- Oct 17, 2026Mercedes2-1Leones de Rosario
- Oct 19, 2026Sportivo BarracasvsSacachispas
- Oct 19, 2026LuganovsCanuelas
- Oct 24, 2026SacachispasvsSportivo Barracas
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo EspañolvsVictoriano Arenas