Capital Brasilia vs Sobradinho EC: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 8Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, Paranoá, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Capital Brasilia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Sobradinho EC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Capital Brasilia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Capital Brasilia vs Sobradinho EC?
Capital Brasilia starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,682 vs 1,537).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Capital Brasilia vs Sobradinho EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Capital Brasilia
Not enough data to predict the Capital Brasilia lineup.
Sobradinho EC
4-3-3- MMurillo Magno de Carvalho
- JJoão de Deus
- DDouglas Pitbul
- AAndrei Alba
- FFilipe Cirne
- WWerick
- JJaílton de Campos dos Santos
- RRicardo Ferreira de Sousa
- IIgor
- PPaulo Giovani Ramos
- LLeonardo Rodrigues Sales da Silva
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Capital Brasilia have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Sobradinho EC have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Aparecidense(home) | 4-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Aparecidense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | União Rondonópolis(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | CEOV Operário(away) | 5-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gama(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brasília(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Capital Brasilia win, 1 draw, 1 Sobradinho EC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Capital Brasilia 2-3 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Sobradinho EC 1-1 Capital Brasilia | Brasiliense |
| Mar 18, 2020 | Capital Brasilia 4-0 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Capital Brasilia vs Sobradinho EC on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Capital Brasilia score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sobradinho EC score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Brasilia | 1.5 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Sobradinho EC | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Capital Brasilia sit 5th in Brasiliense (15 points from 9 matches) and Sobradinho EC sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sobradinho EC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Capital Brasilia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 15 |
A question about Capital Brasilia vs Sobradinho EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Capital Brasilia vs Sobradinho EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Capital Brasilia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Sobradinho EC.
- Where and when is Capital Brasilia vs Sobradinho EC played?
- Capital Brasilia vs Sobradinho EC is played on February 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.