Ceilândia vs Gama: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 8Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, Ceilândia, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ceilândia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gama wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceilândia vs Gama?
Gama starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,595).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceilândia vs Gama
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceilândia
Not enough data to predict the Ceilândia lineup.
Gama
Not enough data to predict the Gama lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceilândia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Gama have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luverdense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mixto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | União Rondonópolis(away) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | ASA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASA(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sao Jose(home) | 4-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sao Jose(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America-RN(home) | 3-2 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ceilândia wins, 2 draws, 2 Gama wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Gama 2-1 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Ceilândia 1-1 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Gama 2-1 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Ceilândia 2-0 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Ceilândia 4-3 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Gama 0-0 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceilândia score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gama score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceilândia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Gama | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceilândia sit 4th in Brasiliense (16 points from 9 matches) and Gama sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Ceilândia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Ceilândia vs Gama?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceilândia vs Gama?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ceilândia.
- Where and when is Ceilândia vs Gama played?
- Ceilândia vs Gama is played on February 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.