Samambaia vs Paranoá: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 8Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Samambaia the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Paranoá. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samambaia vs Paranoá?
On Elo ratings, Samambaia has 1,530 points and Paranoá 1,436.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samambaia vs Paranoá
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samambaia
Not enough data to predict the Samambaia lineup.
Paranoá
Not enough data to predict the Paranoá lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samambaia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Paranoá have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paranoá(away) | 6-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-6 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ceilândia(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Brasiliense(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Real FC(away) | 5-4 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Gama(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Samambaia win, 0 draws, 3 Paranoá wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paranoá 0-6 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Paranoá 2-0 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Samambaia 1-2 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Samambaia 2-3 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Samambaia score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Paranoá score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samambaia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Paranoá | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samambaia sit 2nd in Brasiliense (20 points from 9 matches) and Paranoá sit 8th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Paranoá | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Samambaia vs Paranoá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samambaia vs Paranoá?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samambaia the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Paranoá.
- Where and when is Samambaia vs Paranoá played?
- Samambaia vs Paranoá is played on February 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.