Caravaggio vs Hercílio Luz: result 1-0 and analysis
Catarinense - 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on February 2, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Caravaggio vs Hercílio Luz?
Caravaggio won 1-0 on February 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 36′Vinicius BarcellosCaravaggio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caravaggio have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Brusque(away) | 0-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Avai(home) | 0-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Santa Catarina(away) | 1-3 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Barra(away) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Santa Catarina(home) | 0-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 0-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Figueirense(away) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Brusque(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Caravaggio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caravaggio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caravaggio sit 11th in Catarinense - 1 (10 points from 11 matches) and Hercílio Luz sit 12th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caravaggio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 10 |
| 12 | Hercílio Luz | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy