Cardiff vs Derby: result 4-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 34Kick-off on March 2, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff vs Derby?
Cardiff won 4-0 on March 2, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 22′L. BacunaCardiff
- 48′K. MooreCardiff
- 56′L. BacunaCardiff
- 90′W. VaulksCardiff
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Luton(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Coventry(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2021 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2021 | Huddersfield(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cardiff win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2020 | Derby 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Jul 14, 2020 | Cardiff 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2019 | Derby 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Derby 3-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Cardiff 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2017 | Derby 3-4 Cardiff | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 12th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy