Derby vs Cardiff: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 28, 2020 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Cardiff?
Derby and Cardiff drew 1-1 on October 28, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 24′M. WaghornDerby
- 77′K. MooreCardiff
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Cardiff have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2020 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Watford(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Blackburn(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2020 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Blackburn(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Reading(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cardiff win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2020 | Cardiff 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2019 | Derby 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Derby 3-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Cardiff 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2017 | Derby 3-4 Cardiff | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2016 | Cardiff 0-2 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 0.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 0.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cardiff | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Cardiff sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy