Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?

Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin

Carina Gubin

Goczałkowice Zdrój

The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,717) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).

Carina Gubin win42 %

Draw27 %

Goczałkowice Zdrój win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carina Gubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3

Goczałkowice Zdrój
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Nysa(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Carina Gubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-2 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 11, 2025	Carina Gubin 1-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Mar 22, 2025	Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-2 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 24, 2024	Carina Gubin 1-3 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
May 15, 2024	Carina Gubin 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 21, 2023	Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-0 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Carina Gubin	1.4	1.7	1	11/15	10/15
Goczałkowice Zdrój	0.9	1.5	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Goczałkowice Zdrój	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
15	Carina Gubin	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?: The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?: Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.