Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Jelenia Góra
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Sparta Katowice?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743) and Sparta Katowice (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sparta Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sparta Katowice 3-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-0 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
- Where and when is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Sparta Katowice played?
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Sparta Katowice is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsKluczbork
- Oct 10, 2026ROW RybnikvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Oct 10, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsStilon Gorzów
- Oct 10, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsSłowianin
- Oct 10, 2026Warta GorzówvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Oct 10, 2026Carina GubinvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Oct 10, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsZagłębie Lubin II
- Oct 10, 2026Barycz SułówvsStal Brzeg