Barycz Sułów vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Stal Brzeg?
Barycz Sułów starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,754 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Stal Brzeg?
- The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stal Brzeg.
- Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Stal Brzeg played?
- Barycz Sułów vs Stal Brzeg is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsKluczbork
- Oct 10, 2026ROW RybnikvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Oct 10, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsStilon Gorzów
- Oct 10, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsSłowianin
- Oct 10, 2026Warta GorzówvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Oct 10, 2026Carina GubinvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Oct 10, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSparta Katowice
- Oct 10, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsZagłębie Lubin II