Match

Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice

Górnik PolkowiceStilon Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów?

Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,837 vs 1,722).

Górnik Polkowice win50 %
Draw23 %
Stilon Gorzów win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Polkowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)3-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Kluczbork(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Rakow II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 3
Stilon Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kluczbork(home)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Rakow II(away)4-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stilon Gorzów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Górnik Polkowice 3-2 Stilon GorzówFriendlies Clubs
Mar 15, 2025Stilon Gorzów 1-2 Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 21, 2024Górnik Polkowice 0-0 Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
May 26, 2024Stilon Gorzów 3-4 Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3
Feb 17, 2024Górnik Polkowice 1-2 Stilon GorzówFriendlies Clubs
Nov 4, 2023Górnik Polkowice 3-2 Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Górnik Polkowice2.32.1311/1513/15
Stilon Gorzów1.71.249/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Górnik Polkowice522111108
11Stilon Gorzów5212967

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów?
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Stilon Gorzów.
Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów played?
Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Górnik Polkowice and Stilon Gorzów

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