Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów?
Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,837 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stilon Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice 3-2 Stilon Gorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Stilon Gorzów 1-2 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Górnik Polkowice 0-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 26, 2024 | Stilon Gorzów 3-4 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Górnik Polkowice 1-2 Stilon Gorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Górnik Polkowice 3-2 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Stilon Gorzów.
- Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów played?
- Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsKluczbork
- Oct 10, 2026ROW RybnikvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Oct 10, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsSłowianin
- Oct 10, 2026Warta GorzówvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Oct 10, 2026Carina GubinvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Oct 10, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSparta Katowice
- Oct 10, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsZagłębie Lubin II
- Oct 10, 2026Barycz SułówvsStal Brzeg