Carlisle vs Morecambe: result 1-0 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 30, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Morecambe?
Carlisle won 1-0 on December 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′L. ArmstrongCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Morecambe have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Gateshead(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Boreham Wood(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Woking(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Blackpool(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Rochdale(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Brackley Town(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Gateshead(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Boston United(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Braintree(away) | 0-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Carlisle win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Morecambe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Morecambe 0-2 Carlisle | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Carlisle 0-1 Morecambe | League Two |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle | EFL Trophy |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Morecambe 0-0 Carlisle | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Morecambe 0-2 Carlisle | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Morecambe 3-1 Carlisle | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Morecambe vs Carlisle on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy