AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hayden Road, Rushden, Northamptonshire
The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe?
On Elo ratings, AFC Rushden & Diamonds has 1,720 points and Morecambe 1,803.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
4-3-3- TT. Berwick
- CC. Herbert
- TT. Lorraine
- SS. Brown
- RR. Bunting
- CC. Hoban
- DD. Gordon
- OO. Wilkinson
- LL. Dolman
- JJ. Gillingwater
- MM. Finlay
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Rushden & Diamonds have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Morecambe have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Braintree(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Desborough Town(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Chasetown(away) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lichfield City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Rushden & Diamonds score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds.
- Where and when is AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe played?
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hayden Road, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.