FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)The Shay Stadium, Halifax, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Carlisle the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for FC Halifax Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate FC Halifax Town (1,844) and Carlisle (1,902).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Halifax Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Carlisle have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 6-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby County U21(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 FC Halifax Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | FC Halifax Town 0-1 Carlisle | National League |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Carlisle 2-0 FC Halifax Town | National League |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Carlisle 3-0 FC Halifax Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Halifax Town score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Halifax Town | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Carlisle | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Halifax Town sit 16th in National League (3 points from 3 matches) and Carlisle sit 12th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | FC Halifax Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle?
- The Footlab model makes Carlisle the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for FC Halifax Town.
- Where and when is FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle played?
- FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at The Shay Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.