Match

FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle: prediction and stats

National LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)The Shay Stadium, Halifax, West Yorkshire

FC Halifax TownCarlisle

The Footlab AI model makes FC Halifax Town the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Carlisle. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Halifax Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,052 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate FC Halifax Town (1,958) and Carlisle (1,983).

39%24%37%
FC Halifax Town winDrawCarlisle win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Halifax Town

4-3-3
  1. 9C. Carty
  2. 11C. Douglas
  3. 14A. Morgan-Smith
  1. 30C. Johnson
  2. 17B. Tollitt
  3. 20T. Trusty
  1. 5S. Hobson
  2. 2M. Bardell
  3. 3Raheem Conte
  4. 8W. Flint
  1. 33True Grant

Carlisle

4-3-3
  1. 7D. Ajiboye
  2. 10R. Linney
  3. 9G. Kelly
  1. 6M. Azeez
  2. 4H. Bunker
  3. 30T. Jenks
  1. 15B. Nicholson
  2. 17L. Duru
  3. 5M. Feeney
  4. 18J. Ellis
  1. 1A. Desbois

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 04:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Halifax Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Halifax Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026South Shields(home)3-2FA Cup
Oct 13, 2026Stoke City U21(home)4-2National League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Gateshead(home)4-1National League
Oct 3, 2026Solihull Moors(away)2-0National League
Sep 29, 2026Boston United(home)1-1National League
Carlisle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Tamworth(home)2-1FA Cup
Oct 10, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-0National League
Oct 3, 2026Aldershot Town(away)3-1National League
Sep 29, 2026AFC Fylde(away)2-0National League
Sep 26, 2026Woking(home)2-5National League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 FC Halifax Town wins, 0 draws, 3 Carlisle wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2026FC Halifax Town 0-1 CarlisleNational League
Nov 4, 2025Carlisle 2-0 FC Halifax TownNational League
Jul 30, 2021Carlisle 3-0 FC Halifax TownFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle on Mar 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Halifax Town score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Halifax Town2.31.059/159/15
Carlisle1.91.4311/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Halifax Town sit 10th in National League (20 points from 13 matches) and Carlisle sit 14th (17 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10FC Halifax Town13625221520
14Carlisle13454232017

A question about FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Halifax Town the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Carlisle.
Where and when is FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle played?
FC Halifax Town vs Carlisle is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at The Shay Stadium, in the National League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Halifax Town and Carlisle

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