Forest Green vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Forest Green the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Tamworth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Tamworth?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Forest Green (1,852) and Tamworth (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tamworth have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 5-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Forest Green win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tamworth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tamworth 1-0 Forest Green | National League |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Forest Green 4-2 Tamworth | National League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Forest Green 3-0 Tamworth | National League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Tamworth 1-1 Forest Green | National League |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Tamworth 1-2 Forest Green | National League |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Forest Green 1-2 Tamworth | National League |
Last archived meeting: Tamworth vs Forest Green on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Tamworth | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forest Green sit 10th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Tamworth sit 22nd (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab model makes Forest Green the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Tamworth.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Tamworth played?
- Forest Green vs Tamworth is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.