Carlisle vs Tamworth: result 2-1 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 29, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Tamworth?
Carlisle won 2-1 on November 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′G. KellyCarlisle
- 39′J. PonticelliTamworth
- 79′G. KellyCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Tamworth have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Southend(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 4, 2025 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Reading(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 3-0 | National League Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Rochdale(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Boreham Wood(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Forest Green(away) | 2-4 | National League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Woking(home) | 0-1 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Tamworth | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 12th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Tamworth sit 22nd (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy