Match

Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely): result 4-3 and analysis

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 1Kick-off on August 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)LHP Stadium, Caerfyrddin / Carmarthen, Dyfed

Carmarthen Town
4-3
Caerau (Ely)

Full time

What was the result of Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely)?

Carmarthen Town won 4-3 on August 1, 2026.

Goalscorers

  • 50′623822Carmarthen Town (pen.)
  • 58′673572Carmarthen Town
  • 69′623822Carmarthen Town
  • 71′L. BishopCaerau (Ely)
  • 77′673573Caerau (Ely)
  • 88′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
  • 90′573763Carmarthen Town

What had the model predicted before the match?

Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Caerau (Ely) win at 46%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-3.

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmarthen Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carmarthen Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Treowen Stars(away)1-4FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2026Pontypridd Town(home)0-1FAW Championship
Mar 28, 2026Baglan Dragons(away)7-0FAW Championship
Mar 21, 2026Ynyshir Albions(home)0-0FAW Championship
Mar 14, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)3-2FAW Championship
Caerau (Ely)
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Barnstaple Town(home)4-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Haverfordwest County AFC(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Evesham United(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 3, 2026Croesyceiliog AFC(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 30, 2026Cardiff Corinthians(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Carmarthen Town wins, 3 draws, 0 Caerau (Ely) wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Caerau (Ely) 3-4 Carmarthen TownFAW Championship
Nov 28, 2025Carmarthen Town 1-1 Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship
Jan 25, 2025Carmarthen Town 2-0 Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship
Aug 6, 2024Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Carmarthen TownFAW Championship
Feb 10, 2024Carmarthen Town 1-1 Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship
Sep 22, 2023Caerau (Ely) 2-4 Carmarthen TownFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carmarthen Town score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.5 and concede 1.0.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carmarthen Town1.91.938/158/15
Caerau (Ely)2.51.086/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carmarthen Town sit 7th in FAW Championship (15 points from 10 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Caerau (Ely)10613221819
7Carmarthen Town10433222115

A question about Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely)?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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Next match: Carmarthen Town and Caerau (Ely)

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