Carquefou vs Metz: result 4-1 and analysis
Ligue 3Regular Season - 11Kick-off on October 5, 2012 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou
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What was the result of Carquefou vs Metz?
Carquefou won 4-1 on October 5, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 17′Christian Bekamenga Bekamengo AymardCarquefou (pen.)
- 31′D. SakhoMetz (pen.)
- 60′R. ThomasCarquefou
- 70′F. MartinCarquefou
- 90′Christian Bekamenga Bekamengo AymardCarquefou
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carquefou have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Metz have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2012 | Vannes(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Boulogne(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Cherbourg(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Orleans(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 8, 2012 | CA Bastia(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2012 | Amiens(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 25, 2012 | Bastia(away) | 0-3 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Epinal(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Uzès Pont du Gard(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Carquefou score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carquefou | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Metz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy