Carrarese vs Sudtirol: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carrarese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Sudtirol?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Carrarese (1,828) and Sudtirol (1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Sudtirol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Sudtirol
3-4-2-1- 90A. Okoro
- 5S. Tronchin
- 79S. Molina
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 24S. Davì
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 27G. Stabile
- 22A. Plizzari
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sudtirol have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Carrarese win, 3 draws, 0 Sudtirol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Carrarese 0-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sudtirol 1-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Sudtirol 2-2 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Carrarese 2-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 17th in Serie B (7 points from 8 matches) and Sudtirol sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Carrarese vs Sudtirol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Sudtirol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Sudtirol played?
- Carrarese vs Sudtirol is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.