Stanway Rovers vs Dartford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Stanway Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Dartford?
Dartford starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Dartford have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Heybridge Swifts(away) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanway Rovers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Dartford sit 5th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Dartford?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Stanway Rovers.
- Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Dartford played?
- Stanway Rovers vs Dartford is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWhyteleafe
- Dec 5, 2026St Albans CityvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 5, 2026WhitehawkvsLeatherhead
- Dec 5, 2026AveleyvsWelling United
- Dec 5, 2026RamsgatevsThree Bridges
- Dec 5, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsBurgess Hill Town
- Dec 5, 2026Cray WanderersvsChatham Town
- Dec 5, 2026Enfield TownvsMaldon & Tiptree