Carshalton Athletic vs Lewes: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Lewes?
Carshalton Athletic starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Carshalton Athletic win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Lewes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | Lewes 2-3 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 1-2 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Lewes 1-3 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Carshalton Athletic 0-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Lewes 1-3 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Carshalton Athletic 1-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic on Nov 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carshalton Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (12 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Lewes?
- The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Lewes played?
- Carshalton Athletic vs Lewes is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.