Cheshunt vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Stadium Cheshunt, Cheshunt, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Cheshunt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheshunt vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Cheshunt (1,728) and Welling United (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheshunt have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cheshunt win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Welling United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Welling United 3-1 Cheshunt | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Cheshunt 4-2 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 7, 2023 | Cheshunt 1-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Welling United 2-1 Cheshunt | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Cheshunt on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cheshunt score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshunt | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheshunt sit 18th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (3 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheshunt vs Welling United?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Cheshunt.
- Where and when is Cheshunt vs Welling United played?
- Cheshunt vs Welling United is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Stadium Cheshunt, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.