Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Welling United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Welling United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,678 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Carshalton Athletic (1,831) and Welling United (1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carshalton Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Carshalton Athletic lineup.
Welling United
Not enough data to predict the Welling United lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Welling United have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Carshalton Athletic win, 0 draws, 1 Welling United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Welling United 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 2-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carshalton Athletic score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Welling United | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carshalton Athletic sit 8th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (22 points from 15 matches) and Welling United sit 2nd (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Welling United | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 27 |
| 8 | Carshalton Athletic | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 28 | 22 |
A question about Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welling United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United played?
- Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027DartfordvsAveley
- Jan 9, 2027St Albans CityvsWhitehawk
- Jan 9, 2027RamsgatevsEastbourne Borough
- Jan 9, 2027Three BridgesvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Jan 9, 2027Cray WanderersvsBrentwood Town
- Jan 9, 2027Enfield TownvsBurgess Hill Town
- Jan 9, 2027Wingate & FinchleyvsLewes
- Jan 9, 2027Dulwich HamletvsWhyteleafe