Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Carshalton Athletic (1,792) and Welling United (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Welling United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Welling United 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 2-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carshalton Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (12 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United?
- The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United played?
- Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027DartfordvsAveley
- Jan 9, 2027St Albans CityvsWhitehawk
- Jan 9, 2027RamsgatevsEastbourne Borough
- Jan 9, 2027Three BridgesvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Jan 9, 2027Cray WanderersvsBrentwood Town
- Jan 9, 2027Enfield TownvsBurgess Hill Town
- Jan 9, 2027Wingate & FinchleyvsLewes
- Jan 9, 2027Dulwich HamletvsWhyteleafe