Match

Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey

Carshalton AthleticWelling United

The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Carshalton Athletic (1,792) and Welling United (1,769).

Carshalton Athletic win40 %
Draw24 %
Welling United win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carshalton Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stanway Rovers(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Dover(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Welling United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dartford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Stanway Rovers(home)4-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Leatherhead(away)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whitehawk(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Welling United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Welling United 2-1 Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 27, 2025Carshalton Athletic 2-1 Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carshalton Athletic1.81.2510/159/15
Welling United2.01.358/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carshalton Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (12 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Carshalton Athletic44008212
3Welling United43011049

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United?
The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Welling United.
Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United played?
Carshalton Athletic vs Welling United is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Carshalton Athletic and Welling United

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