Welling United vs St Albans City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for St Albans City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs St Albans City?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Welling United (1,801) and St Albans City (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; St Albans City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Welling United win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 St Albans City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Welling United 0-0 St Albans City | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 18, 2025 | St Albans City 2-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Welling United 1-1 St Albans City | National League - South |
| Oct 19, 2024 | St Albans City 0-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Feb 24, 2024 | St Albans City 1-1 Welling United | National League - South |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Welling United 0-0 St Albans City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs St Albans City on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| St Albans City | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and St Albans City sit 13th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 | St Albans City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs St Albans City?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for St Albans City.
- Where and when is Welling United vs St Albans City played?
- Welling United vs St Albans City is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027LeatherheadvsCray Wanderers
- Jan 16, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsDartford
- Jan 16, 2027WhitehawkvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 16, 2027AveleyvsRamsgate
- Jan 16, 2027Brentwood TownvsThree Bridges
- Jan 16, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsChatham Town
- Jan 16, 2027WhyteleafevsEnfield Town
- Jan 16, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsWingate & Finchley