Crotone vs Casarano: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
The Footlab AI model makes Crotone the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Casarano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crotone wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crotone vs Casarano?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Crotone (1,812) and Casarano (1,830).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crotone vs Casarano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crotone
4-2-3-1- 96M. Zunno
- 99F. Crapisto
- 80Filippo Grosso
- 31P. Rodriguez
- 5L. Russo
- 8I. Torres
- 13N. Armini
- 26G. Tanco
- 63A. Veltri
- 23F. Groppelli
- 1D. Merelli
Casarano
4-3-3- 10C. Chiricò
- 11V. Ferrara
- 9F. Grandolfo
- 23G. Logoluso
- 17R. Maiello
- 21N. Zanellato
- 33M. Mercadante
- 2P. Ciotti
- 36E. Matino
- 3F. Giraudo
- 97A. Farroni
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crotone have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Casarano have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Catania(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SS Monopoli(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Savoia(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Savoia(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Crotone wins, 0 draws, 0 Casarano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Casarano 1-2 Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Crotone 2-0 Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Crotone score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Casarano score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Casarano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crotone sit 20th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 8 matches) and Casarano sit 14th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Casarano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 20 | Crotone | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
A question about Crotone vs Casarano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crotone vs Casarano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crotone the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Casarano.
- Where and when is Crotone vs Casarano played?
- Crotone vs Casarano is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ezio Scida, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.