Casarano vs Potenza: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Casarano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Potenza wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casarano vs Potenza?
Potenza starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,841).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Casarano vs Potenza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Casarano
4-3-3- 10C. Chiricò
- 11V. Ferrara
- 9F. Grandolfo
- 23G. Logoluso
- 17R. Maiello
- 21N. Zanellato
- 33M. Mercadante
- 2P. Ciotti
- 36E. Matino
- 3F. Giraudo
- 97A. Farroni
Potenza
4-3-3- 10G. D'Auria
- 30L. Petrungaro
- 70Gabriele Selleri
- 24A. Bando
- 8M. Castorani
- 77M. Ghisolfi
- 6G. Loiacono
- 26N. Kirwan
- 3L. Russo
- 47R. Bura
- 17T. Cucchietti
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casarano have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Potenza have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 2-5 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Savoia(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Catania(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foggia(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AZ Picerno(home) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cavese(home) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Casarano win, 0 draws, 2 Potenza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Potenza 4-1 Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Casarano 2-1 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Potenza 3-1 Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Casarano score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Potenza score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casarano | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Potenza | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casarano sit 15th in Serie C - Girone C (11 points from 10 matches) and Potenza sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 15 | Casarano | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Casarano vs Potenza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casarano vs Potenza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Casarano.
- Where and when is Casarano vs Potenza played?
- Casarano vs Potenza is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.