Match

Foggia vs Crotone: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, Foggia

FoggiaCrotone

The Footlab AI model makes Foggia the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Foggia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Foggia vs Crotone?

On Elo ratings, Foggia has 1,613 points and Crotone 1,741.

50%26%24%
Foggia winDrawCrotone win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Foggia vs Crotone

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Foggia

4-2-3-1
  1. 16H. Haoudi
  1. 4A. Gallo
  2. 14F. Zuccon
  3. 8M. Coulibaly
  4. 37Valdes Ngana
  5. 7E. Oviszach
  1. 2G. Todisco
  2. 21F. Berra
  3. 3M. Seck
  4. 6D. Di Pasquale
  1. 22G. Saro

Crotone

4-2-3-1
  1. 96M. Zunno
  1. 99F. Crapisto
  2. 80Filippo Grosso
  3. 31P. Rodriguez
  4. 5L. Russo
  5. 8I. Torres
  1. 13N. Armini
  2. 26G. Tanco
  3. 63A. Veltri
  4. 23F. Groppelli
  1. 1D. Merelli

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:38 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foggia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Crotone have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Foggia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Potenza(home)1-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Cosenza(away)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Sorrento(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Inter U23(away)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Savoia(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Crotone
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Audace Cerignola(home)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Catania(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Salernitana(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026SS Monopoli(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Inter U23(home)0-2Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Foggia win, 1 draw, 4 Crotone wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Crotone 0-1 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C
Feb 22, 2026Crotone 3-1 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C
Oct 28, 2025Crotone 1-0 FoggiaCoppa Italia Serie C
Oct 11, 2025Foggia 0-3 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Apr 14, 2025Crotone 3-2 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 30, 2024Foggia 1-1 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Crotone vs Foggia on Aug 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Foggia score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Crotone score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Foggia0.91.256/154/15
Crotone1.21.7110/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Foggia sit 12th in Serie C - Girone C (11 points from 9 matches) and Crotone sit 20th (0 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Foggia932491011
20Crotone913510150

A question about Foggia vs Crotone?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Foggia vs Crotone?
The Footlab AI model makes Foggia the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Crotone.
Where and when is Foggia vs Crotone played?
Foggia vs Crotone is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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