Match

Sorrento vs Salernitana: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza

SorrentoSalernitana

The Footlab AI model makes Sorrento the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Salernitana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sorrento wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sorrento vs Salernitana?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Sorrento (1,764) and Salernitana (1,856).

38%31%31%
Sorrento winDrawSalernitana win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sorrento vs Salernitana

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sorrento

4-3-3
  1. 7E. Starita
  2. 9S. Parker
  3. 19A. Bolzan
  1. 8M. Cuccurullo
  2. 28L. Capezzi
  3. 3L. Crecco
  1. 33A. Viscardi
  2. 6F. Fusco
  3. 2M. Puzone
  4. 27C. Loreto
  1. 22S. Harrasser

Salernitana

4-3-3
  1. 11E. D'Ursi
  2. 10F. Lescano
  3. 7I. Achik
  1. 32M. Vitale
  2. 8M. Tascone
  3. 6K. de Boer
  1. 5D. Celiento
  2. 16M. Llano
  3. 33A. Anastasio
  4. 14L. Villa
  1. 12C. Galeotti

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sorrento have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Salernitana have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sorrento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Catania(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 31, 2026Team Altamura(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 27, 2026Savoia(away)0-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Oct 24, 2026Inter U23(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Casertana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Salernitana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Inter U23(away)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Nov 1, 2026Savoia(home)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 26, 2026AZ Picerno(away)0-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 17, 2026Scafatese(home)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Casarano(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sorrento win, 1 draw, 2 Salernitana wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Salernitana 1-2 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C
Jan 25, 2026Sorrento 0-2 SalernitanaSerie C - Girone C
Sep 14, 2025Salernitana 2-1 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C
Aug 17, 2025Salernitana 1-1 SorrentoCoppa Italia Serie C

Last archived meeting: Salernitana vs Sorrento on Aug 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sorrento score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Salernitana score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sorrento1.11.166/155/15
Salernitana1.21.3211/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sorrento sit 5th in Serie C - Girone C (20 points from 12 matches) and Salernitana sit 13th (15 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Sorrento12624161320
13Salernitana13364151715

A question about Sorrento vs Salernitana?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sorrento vs Salernitana?
The Footlab AI model makes Sorrento the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Salernitana.
Where and when is Sorrento vs Salernitana played?
Sorrento vs Salernitana is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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