Potenza vs Giugliano: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
The Footlab model makes Potenza the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Giugliano. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Potenza vs Giugliano?
Potenza starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potenza have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Giugliano have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia |
| May 20, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 3-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Potenza win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Giugliano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Potenza 0-0 Giugliano | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Giugliano 2-3 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Potenza 4-4 Giugliano | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Giugliano 1-2 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Potenza 1-0 Giugliano | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Giugliano 0-0 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Potenza score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Giugliano score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potenza | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Giugliano | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Potenza sit 1st in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and Giugliano sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Giugliano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Potenza vs Giugliano?
- The Footlab model makes Potenza the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Giugliano.
- Where and when is Potenza vs Giugliano played?
- Potenza vs Giugliano is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.