Casertana vs Team Altamura: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 5Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, Caserta
The Footlab model makes Casertana the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Team Altamura. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casertana vs Team Altamura?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Casertana (1,861) and Team Altamura (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casertana have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Team Altamura have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 3-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Foggia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Casertana win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Team Altamura win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | Team Altamura 0-2 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Casertana 3-1 Team Altamura | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Team Altamura 2-0 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Casertana 1-1 Team Altamura | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Team Altamura 3-1 Casertana | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Casertana 1-1 Team Altamura | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Team Altamura vs Casertana on Jan 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Casertana score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Team Altamura score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casertana | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Team Altamura | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Casertana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casertana vs Team Altamura?
- The Footlab model makes Casertana the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Team Altamura.
- Where and when is Casertana vs Team Altamura played?
- Casertana vs Team Altamura is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.