Castanhal vs Independente PA: result 1-1 and analysis
ParaenseQuarter-finalsKick-off on May 2, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal, Pará
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What was the result of Castanhal vs Independente PA?
Castanhal and Independente PA drew 1-1 on May 2, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 20′?Castanhal
- 30′?Independente PA (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castanhal have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Independente PA have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | Carajás(home) | 2-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Remo(away) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Gavião(away) | 2-2 | Paraense |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Bragantino PA(home) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Apr 6, 2021 | Tapajós(away) | 2-2 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | Itupiranga(away) | 0-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 20, 2021 | Paysandu(home) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Carajás(home) | 2-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 8, 2021 | Remo(away) | 2-2 | Paraense |
| Apr 3, 2021 | Bragantino PA(home) | 1-1 | Paraense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Castanhal win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Independente PA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2020 | Castanhal 2-1 Independente PA | Paraense |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Independente PA 2-3 Castanhal | Paraense |
Last archived meeting: Castanhal vs Independente PA on Aug 4, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Castanhal score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Independente PA score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Independente PA | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy