Independente PA vs Castanhal: result 1-2 and analysis
ParaenseQuarter-finalsKick-off on May 5, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Antônio Dias, Tucuruí, Pará
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What was the result of Independente PA vs Castanhal?
Castanhal won 1-2 on May 5, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 21′?Independente PA
- 79′?Castanhal
- 89′?Castanhal (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independente PA have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Castanhal have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | Castanhal(away) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Itupiranga(away) | 0-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 20, 2021 | Paysandu(home) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Carajás(home) | 2-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 8, 2021 | Remo(away) | 2-2 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | Independente PA(home) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Carajás(home) | 2-0 | Paraense |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Remo(away) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Gavião(away) | 2-2 | Paraense |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Bragantino PA(home) | 1-1 | Paraense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Independente PA win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Castanhal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | Castanhal 1-1 Independente PA | Paraense |
| Aug 4, 2020 | Castanhal 2-1 Independente PA | Paraense |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Independente PA 2-3 Castanhal | Paraense |
Last archived meeting: Castanhal vs Independente PA on May 2, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Independente PA score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castanhal score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independente PA | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Castanhal | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy