Castellanzese vs Cittadella Vis Modena: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, Castellanza
The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Cittadella Vis Modena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellanzese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Castellanzese (1,751) and Cittadella Vis Modena (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellanzese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellanzese
Not enough data to predict the Castellanzese lineup.
Cittadella Vis Modena
Not enough data to predict the Cittadella Vis Modena lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellanzese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cittadella Vis Modena have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crema(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellanzese score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellanzese | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellanzese sit 4th in Serie D - Girone D (19 points from 10 matches) and Cittadella Vis Modena sit 8th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Castellanzese | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
A question about Castellanzese vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellanzese vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Cittadella Vis Modena.
- Where and when is Castellanzese vs Cittadella Vis Modena played?
- Castellanzese vs Cittadella Vis Modena is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.