Varesina vs Oltrepò: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale, Venegono Superiore
The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Oltrepò. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varesina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,487 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varesina vs Oltrepò?
On Elo ratings, Varesina has 1,727 points and Oltrepò 1,656.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Varesina vs Oltrepò
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Oltrepò
Not enough data to predict the Oltrepò lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 03:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varesina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Oltrepò have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Crema(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pontedera(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Varesina win, 0 draws, 1 Oltrepò win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Oltrepò 0-1 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Varesina 2-3 Oltrepò | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Varesina score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Oltrepò score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varesina | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Oltrepò | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varesina sit 14th in Serie D - Girone D (11 points from 11 matches) and Oltrepò sit 18th (5 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Varesina | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
| 18 | Oltrepò | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Varesina vs Oltrepò?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varesina vs Oltrepò?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Oltrepò.
- Where and when is Varesina vs Oltrepò played?
- Varesina vs Oltrepò is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.