Sant'Angelo vs Crema: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Chiesa, Sant'Angelo Lodigiano
The Footlab AI model makes Sant'Angelo the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sant'Angelo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sant'Angelo vs Crema?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Sant'Angelo (1,588) and Crema (1,536).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sant'Angelo vs Crema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sant'Angelo
Not enough data to predict the Sant'Angelo lineup.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sant'Angelo have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Crema have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sant'Angelo wins, 2 draws, 2 Crema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Crema 1-1 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sant'Angelo 0-2 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Sant'Angelo 3-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Crema 1-2 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Crema 2-1 Sant'Angelo | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Sant'Angelo 0-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Sant'Angelo score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crema score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sant'Angelo | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Crema | 0.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sant'Angelo sit 11th in Serie D - Girone D (8 points from 7 matches) and Crema sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Sant'Angelo vs Crema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sant'Angelo vs Crema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sant'Angelo the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Crema.
- Where and when is Sant'Angelo vs Crema played?
- Sant'Angelo vs Crema is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Chiesa, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.