Pro Patria vs Pro Sesto: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio
The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pro Patria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pro Sesto wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Pro Sesto?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Pro Patria (1,596) and Pro Sesto (1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Patria vs Pro Sesto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Patria
4-3-3- 10F. Mastroianni
- 25D. Ferri
- 70J. Desogus
- 17G. Tunjov
- 23J. Frosali
- 27L. Giudici
- 6A. Sassaro
- 39M. Motolese
- 20C. Mora
- 31G. Felicioli
- 28A. Sala
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Patria have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Pro Sesto have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crema(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pro Patria wins, 2 draws, 4 Pro Sesto wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Pro Sesto 1-0 Pro Patria | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Pro Patria 0-0 Pro Sesto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Pro Patria 1-3 Pro Sesto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Pro Sesto 2-1 Pro Patria | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Pro Patria 0-3 Pro Sesto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Pro Sesto 1-1 Pro Patria | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Patria score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pro Sesto score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Patria | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Pro Sesto | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Patria sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone D (16 points from 7 matches) and Pro Sesto sit 5th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Pro Patria vs Pro Sesto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Patria vs Pro Sesto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pro Patria.
- Where and when is Pro Patria vs Pro Sesto played?
- Pro Patria vs Pro Sesto is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Speroni, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.