Castellanzese vs Coriano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, Castellanza
The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Coriano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellanzese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Coriano?
Castellanzese starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,650).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellanzese vs Coriano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellanzese
Not enough data to predict the Castellanzese lineup.
Coriano
Not enough data to predict the Coriano lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellanzese have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Coriano have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Crema(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crema(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lentigione(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellanzese score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Coriano score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellanzese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Coriano | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellanzese sit 5th in Serie D - Girone D (15 points from 7 matches) and Coriano sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 15 | Coriano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Castellanzese vs Coriano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellanzese vs Coriano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Coriano.
- Where and when is Castellanzese vs Coriano played?
- Castellanzese vs Coriano is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.