Pistoiese vs Pontedera: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Melani, Pistoia
The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Pontedera. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Pontedera?
Pistoiese is a heavy favourite: 1,858 Elo points against 1,515, a 343-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pistoiese vs Pontedera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pistoiese
Not enough data to predict the Pistoiese lineup.
Pontedera
4-3-3- 25Herculano Nabian
- 28A. Raychev
- 17P. Vitali
- 8F. Faggi
- 20R. Pietrelli
- 10E. Kabashi
- 13M. Å apola
- 23C. Cerretti
- 94L. Piana
- 3D. Leo
- 21V. Biagini
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pistoiese have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Pontedera have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pistoiese win, 1 draw, 4 Pontedera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | Pistoiese 0-1 Pontedera | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Pontedera 2-0 Pistoiese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Pontedera 2-0 Pistoiese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Pistoiese 1-0 Pontedera | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Pontedera 2-1 Pistoiese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Pontedera 0-0 Pistoiese | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pistoiese vs Pontedera on Feb 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Pistoiese score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontedera score 0.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistoiese | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Pontedera | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pistoiese sit 1st in Serie D - Girone D (21 points from 7 matches) and Pontedera sit 18th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Pistoiese vs Pontedera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pistoiese vs Pontedera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Pontedera.
- Where and when is Pistoiese vs Pontedera played?
- Pistoiese vs Pontedera is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Melani, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.