Pro Sesto vs Cittadella Vis Modena: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Cittadella Vis Modena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Pro Sesto (1,729) and Cittadella Vis Modena (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Sesto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cittadella Vis Modena have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tuttocuoio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Piacenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pro Sesto win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cittadella Vis Modena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena 2-1 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Pro Sesto 2-0 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pro Sesto on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Sesto score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Sesto | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Sesto sit 6th in Serie D - Girone D (55 points from 33 matches) and Cittadella Vis Modena sit 7th (55 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Sesto vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
- The Footlab model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Cittadella Vis Modena.
- Where and when is Pro Sesto vs Cittadella Vis Modena played?
- Pro Sesto vs Cittadella Vis Modena is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.