Castellanzese vs Correggese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, Castellanza
The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Correggese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellanzese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,415 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Correggese?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Castellanzese (1,725) and Correggese (1,694).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellanzese vs Correggese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellanzese
Not enough data to predict the Castellanzese lineup.
Correggese
Not enough data to predict the Correggese lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellanzese have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Correggese have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Castellanzese win, 0 draws, 0 Correggese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese 0-2 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Correggese vs Castellanzese on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellanzese score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Correggese score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellanzese | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Correggese | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellanzese sit 4th in Serie D - Girone D (19 points from 11 matches) and Correggese sit 13th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Castellanzese | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 13 | Correggese | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Castellanzese vs Correggese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellanzese vs Correggese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Correggese.
- Where and when is Castellanzese vs Correggese played?
- Castellanzese vs Correggese is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.