Città di Varese vs Arconatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Franco Ossola, Varese
The Footlab AI model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Arconatese. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Città di Varese vs Arconatese?
Città di Varese starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,765 vs 1,583).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Città di Varese vs Arconatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Città di Varese
Not enough data to predict the Città di Varese lineup.
Arconatese
Not enough data to predict the Arconatese lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Città di Varese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arconatese have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Crema(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lentigione(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Città di Varese win, 1 draw, 2 Arconatese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arconatese 1-5 Città di Varese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Arconatese 1-0 Città di Varese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Città di Varese 1-3 Arconatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Città di Varese 2-2 Arconatese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Arconatese vs Città di Varese on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Città di Varese score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arconatese score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Città di Varese | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Arconatese | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Città di Varese sit 7th in Serie D - Girone D (12 points from 8 matches) and Arconatese sit 17th (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 3 |
A question about Città di Varese vs Arconatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Città di Varese vs Arconatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Arconatese.
- Where and when is Città di Varese vs Arconatese played?
- Città di Varese vs Arconatese is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Franco Ossola, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.