Pro Sesto vs Varesina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Varesina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pro Sesto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,586 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Varesina?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Pro Sesto (1,789) and Varesina (1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Sesto vs Varesina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Sesto have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Varesina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pro Sesto win, 1 draw, 1 Varesina win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Varesina 0-0 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Varesina 1-0 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Pro Sesto 1-0 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Varesina vs Pro Sesto on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Sesto score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Sesto | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Sesto sit 5th in Serie D - Girone D (15 points from 8 matches) and Varesina sit 14th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 15 |
| 14 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Pro Sesto vs Varesina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Sesto vs Varesina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Varesina.
- Where and when is Pro Sesto vs Varesina played?
- Pro Sesto vs Varesina is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.