Granada CF vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Castellón?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,946).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Granada CF vs Castellón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 27M. Gambin
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 8Pedro Alemañ
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 16Diego Pampín
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 1Alberto Flores
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 6M. Orozco
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 13R. Matthys
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Castellón have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Granada CF wins, 1 draw, 1 Castellón win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Castellón 3-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Granada CF 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| May 25, 2025 | Granada CF 2-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Castellón 2-3 Granada CF | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Castellón vs Granada CF on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Castellón | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 10th in Segunda División (14 points from 9 matches) and Castellón sit 3rd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
| 10 | Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Granada CF vs Castellón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Castellón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Castellón played?
- Granada CF vs Castellón is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.