Castellonense vs Alcoyano: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC)Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, Castelló
The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Alcoyano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellonense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Castellonense (1,907) and Alcoyano (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellonense vs Alcoyano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellonense
Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.
Alcoyano
Not enough data to predict the Alcoyano lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellonense have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Alcoyano have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alcoyano score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Alcoyano | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellonense sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (16 points from 8 matches) and Alcoyano sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 10 | Alcoyano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Alcoyano.
- Where and when is Castellonense vs Alcoyano played?
- Castellonense vs Alcoyano is played on November 8, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC) at Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.