Intercity vs Elche II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, Alicante
The Footlab model makes Intercity the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Elche II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Intercity vs Elche II?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Intercity (1,802) and Elche II (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Intercity have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Elche II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Intercity win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Elche II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Elche II 3-2 Intercity | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Intercity 1-1 Elche II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Intercity 0-0 Elche II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Elche II 2-1 Intercity | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 6, 2019 | Elche II 2-1 Intercity | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Elche II vs Intercity on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Intercity score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Elche II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercity | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Elche II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Elche II | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Intercity vs Elche II?
- The Footlab model makes Intercity the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Elche II.
- Where and when is Intercity vs Elche II played?
- Intercity vs Elche II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.