Castro vs Atlético Albericia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
The Footlab AI model makes Castro the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Atlético Albericia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,845 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Castro (1,705) and Atlético Albericia (1,780).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castro vs Atlético Albericia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castro
Not enough data to predict the Castro lineup.
Atlético Albericia
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Albericia lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 10:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Albericia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Escobedo(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Castro(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Revilla(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Solares(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Castro win, 0 draws, 5 Atlético Albericia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Albericia 4-2 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Castro 0-2 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 2-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 2-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Castro 0-2 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Castro 2-1 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Albericia vs Castro on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Albericia score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Albericia | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (8 points from 8 matches) and Atlético Albericia sit 13th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Castro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 13 | Atlético Albericia | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castro the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Atlético Albericia.
- Where and when is Castro vs Atlético Albericia played?
- Castro vs Atlético Albericia is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Riomar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.