Castro vs Guarnizo: result 3-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 7Kick-off on October 22, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
Full time
What was the result of Castro vs Guarnizo?
Castro won 3-2 on October 22, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′Ander BarrerasCastro
- 22′B. MatansioCastro
- 34′B. MatansioCastro
- 41′Rubén GagoGuarnizo
- 90′LeguinaGuarnizo
Official lineup for Castro vs Guarnizo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Castro
- JJorge Uriarte Calderón
- BB. Matansio
- EEduardo Masside
- JJulen Quintela
- HHugo Ruiz
- JJavier Cea
- AAnder Lambea
- AAnder Barreras
- AAnder Garcia
- MMarcio
- DDavid San Martín
Guarnizo
- GGuille Ocejo
- RRubén Gago
- DDiego Ortiz
- JJavier Muñoz
- VVíctor Pérez
- PPablo Ruiz
- MMarcos Cagigas
- LLeguina
- RRubén Obeso
- IIzan Vega
- VVía
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Guarnizo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Cartes(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Tropezón(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Solares(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Escobedo(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Vimenor(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Atlético Albericia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Velarde(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Sámano(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Laredo(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Cartes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Castro wins, 3 draws, 3 Guarnizo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | Guarnizo 4-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Castro 0-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Castro 0-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Guarnizo 0-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Guarnizo 2-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Castro 1-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Guarnizo score 0.6 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Guarnizo | 0.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Guarnizo sit 11th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guarnizo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Castro vs Guarnizo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy