Castro vs Tropezón: result 0-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsPromotion Play-offs - 1st RoundKick-off on May 18, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
Full time
What was the result of Castro vs Tropezón?
Tropezón won 0-1 on May 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 44′Juan González - Madroño LostalTropezón
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tropezón have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Barreda(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 4, 2025 | Torina(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sámano(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Gama(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Naval(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Siete Villas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 4, 2025 | Atlético Albericia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Guarnizo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Vimenor(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Barquereño(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Castro win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tropezón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tropezón 1-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Castro 2-1 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Tropezón 2-3 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Castro 0-2 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Castro 0-0 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Tropezón 3-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tropezón score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tropezón | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy