Catania vs Novara: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 26, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Full time
What was the result of Catania vs Novara?
Catania won 3-1 on February 26, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 30′G. BergessioCatania
- 47′Giovanni MarcheseCatania
- 54′P. GómezCatania
- 84′Raffaele RubinoNovara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Novara have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | Robur Siena(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Juventus(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Feb 12, 2012 | Genoa(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2012 | AS Roma(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 28, 2012 | Parma(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | Atalanta(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 12, 2012 | Inter(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 5, 2012 | Cagliari(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 2, 2012 | Chievo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jan 29, 2012 | Palermo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Catania win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Novara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2011 | Novara 3-3 Catania | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Catania score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Novara | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy