Catania vs Novara: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 26, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
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What was the result of Catania vs Novara?
Catania won 3-1 on February 26, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 30′G. BergessioCatania
- 47′Giovanni MarcheseCatania
- 54′P. GómezCatania
- 84′Raffaele RubinoNovara
Official lineup for Catania vs Novara
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Catania
- 17P. Gómez
- 18G. Bergessio
- 4S. Almirón
- 8F. Seymour
- 10F. Lodi
- 28Pablo César Barrientos
- 3N. Spolli
- 6N. Legrottaglie
- 11Marco Motta
- 12Giovanni Marchese
- 20J. Carrizo
Novara
- 25Giuseppe Mascara
- 29Andrea Caracciolo
- 3G. Gemiti
- 10Marco Rigoni
- 17F. Porcari
- 23I. Radovanović
- 30M. Centurioni
- 4Andrea Lisuzzo
- 15P. Dellafiore
- 28S. García
- 1S. Ujkani
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Novara have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | Robur Siena(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Juventus(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Feb 12, 2012 | Genoa(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2012 | AS Roma(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 28, 2012 | Parma(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | Atalanta(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 12, 2012 | Inter(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 5, 2012 | Cagliari(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 2, 2012 | Chievo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jan 29, 2012 | Palermo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Catania wins, 1 draw, 0 Novara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2011 | Novara 3-3 Catania | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Catania score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Novara | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Catania vs Novara?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy